Not the first to notice this I'm sure but it feels like there's an insane amount of pressure pushing capital towards anything with a hint of AI legitimacy. It's as if asset owners across the planet have come to a consensus that the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess), but this intense systemic pressure squeezes insane amounts of money toward litearlly any AI shaped outlet that opens up. It's just starting to feel like "scared and desperate" money more than "smart money".
Is it not a case of many funders don't want to risk missing out on the next big thing? And a loss of a few billion now is better than the loss of many billions down the line and control of the future?
AlphaZero worked because chess and Go have terminal rewards and positions you can prove are right or wrong. General intelligence has neither, and the leap from self-play in a well-defined game to self-play in arbitrary environments is the hard part Silver isn't really demoing. Sara Hooker's stuff on scaling laws lines up here (1)
Not the first to notice this I'm sure but it feels like there's an insane amount of pressure pushing capital towards anything with a hint of AI legitimacy. It's as if asset owners across the planet have come to a consensus that the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess), but this intense systemic pressure squeezes insane amounts of money toward litearlly any AI shaped outlet that opens up. It's just starting to feel like "scared and desperate" money more than "smart money".
> the only industry that will matter going forward is this one (fair enough I guess)
Housing, healthcare, and food production all spring to mind as industries that matter waaaay more than AI! (≧ᗜ≦)
Not if all human labor becomes surplus to requirements.
Is it not a case of many funders don't want to risk missing out on the next big thing? And a loss of a few billion now is better than the loss of many billions down the line and control of the future?
AlphaZero worked because chess and Go have terminal rewards and positions you can prove are right or wrong. General intelligence has neither, and the leap from self-play in a well-defined game to self-play in arbitrary environments is the hard part Silver isn't really demoing. Sara Hooker's stuff on scaling laws lines up here (1)
(1) https://philippdubach.com/posts/the-most-expensive-assumptio...